Tag Archive | "Nawaz Sharif"

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25 January, 2012 07:37

Posted on 25 January 2012 by Tea Server

Islamabad Tonight - 24th January 2012 Islamabad Tonight - 24th January 2012
Watch Now Islamabad tonight on aaj news - 24th january 2012
http://www.awaztoday.com/playshow/19434/Islamabad-Tonight-24th-January-2012.aspx
http://www.zemtv.com/2012/01/24/islamabad-tonight-on-aaj-news-24th-january-2012/
http://www.friendskorner.com/forum/f247/video-islamabad-tonight-nadeem-malik-24th-january-2011-a-261507/
http://www.pakistanherald.com/Program/Islamabad-Tonight-January-24-2012-Nadeem-Malik-9465

ISLAMABAD TONIGHT

WITH NADEEM MALIK

24-01-2012

TOPIC- BRANNIGANS OF PAKISTAN POLITICS

GUESTS- TARIQ AZEEM, PROFESSOR IBRAHIM KHAN, ABDUL QADIR BALOCH, JUSTICE TARIQ MAHMOOD, SHARJEEL MEMON

TARIQ AZEEM OF PML said that may be there is some story behind Mansoor Ajaz denial to come to Pakistan. He said that the problems of the people are not being solved and memo case has been postponed for another two weeks. He said that if we look at the related issues with memo it turns into a very important matter. He said that it seems like there is a story behind the curtain other wise army chief submitted his signed affidavit to memogate commission.

He said that Nawaz Sharif and Imran Khan are demanding early elections so there is a possibility of elections this year.

PROFESSOR IBRAHIM KHAN OF JI said that the memo is a reality because American officials have confirmed it. He said that the army is not giving any importance to memogate at the moment and witness of the case is not coming either. He said that 2nd of May incident; Mehran base attack and Salala check post attacks are more important than the memogate scandal. He said that army is a real plaintiff in memogate scandal but is not taking any interest in it.

He said that there is a possibility of elections in the country in October or November this year. He said that to set a care taker set up three months before the elections is now part of the constitution. He said that the President and Prime Minister are the leaders of their parties so care taker set up should replace them also. He said that it is a peculiar situation that SC and election commission having a conflict. He said that the media is a reflection of the society and will only show what is happening. He said that if army chief will raise the issue of memogate media definitely will talk about it.

ABDUL QADIR BALOCH OF PML-N said that the problem of PML-N was to form a commission on memogate and not to resolve it. He said that now it is up to memogate commission that how to resolve this problem.

JUSTICE (R) TARIQ MAHMOOD said that Haqqani will not provide any evidence against himself and Mansoor Ajaz has to come to Pakistan. He said that as long Mansoor Ajaz statement is not taken nothing will happen in the memogate issue.

SHARJEEL MEMON OF PPPP said that Mansoor Ajaz tried to astray Pakistani people and now every body should forget about it. He said that we should not pay any attention to memogate issue because of Mansoor Ajaz reputation of the past.

He said that Peoples Party will hold elections only after its constitutional limit is over. He said that Peoples Party will hold free and fair elections according to the constitution. He said that media should talk about the issues of the people instead of irrelevant things. He said that the memo was a balloon and it has been deflated.

Filed under: CURRENT AFFAIRS

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Appearance Before Court On Contempt Notice

Posted on 22 January 2012 by Tea Server

P.M Gillani appeared in Supreme Court after getting Contempt Of Court Notice.
He was the third acting Prime Minister of Pakistan who appeared before the court on contempt of notice. Earliar Mr. Zulfiqar Ali Bhutto and Mr.Nawaz Sharif {1997} had appeared before the court.
Syndicated from: Catharsis View

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Asar K Waqt

Posted on 20 January 2012 by Tea Server

Another good article by Jawed Chaudry. http://www.express.com.pk/epaper/PoPupwindow.aspx?newsID=1101429938&Issue=NP_LHE&Date=20120120  

Syndicated from: Arcane Dignitary

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“Blaming politicians alone for tarnishing democracy is actually less than half the story”- Benazir Bhutto’s interview to Herald (2000)

Posted on 19 January 2012 by Tea Server

“Tomorrow they may decide to kill me because I know too much. But I want this on record so that one day, 10 years from now, 20 years from now, somebody goes back and says: What was happening in Quaid-e-Azam’s Pakistan?”
Nearly twelve years ago monthly Herald published this interview of Benazir Bhutto (taken by Ali Dayan Hasan). This is perhaps the most revealing interview that BB gave to a local publication. In the context of Pakistan in 2012, this interview remains most relevant. This introduction to the interview is most insightful as it echoes many themes that we are living through once again. Her successor, Yusuf Raza Gilani has made similar remarks on the floor of the Parliament. At least we seemed to have inched a little forward though the destination of democratic Pakistan remains rather elusive. RR

In her most candid interview since 1988, Benazir Bhutto, twice elected prime minister of Pakistan, reveals the extent to which successive civilian governments have been held hostage, and destabilised, by the ‘security apparatus’ of the military. Bhutto, chairperson of the PPP — the single largest political party of the country — explains the helplessness of civilian governments in the face of Intelligence-inspired disinformation on the one hand, and ideologically motivated illegal activities of ‘rogue elements’ of the army on the other. She argues that the security apparatus of the country is out of control and that no government can hope to function smoothly unless these elements are brought under  formalised command structure that prevents them from taking on the role of a state within a state. There is much evidence to support Bhutto’s claims, including that of her adversaries — General Aslam Beg, General Hameed Gul and General Asad Durrani — all of whom conspired against civilian governments and have repeatedly gone on record to admit as much. “Blaming politicians alone for tarnishing democracy is actually less than half the story,” argues Bhutto. Here, she explains why.

To read the full interview click here BB’s interview 2000 Annual Issue

Here are a few pertinent passages from the interview:

Q. You have presided twice over a controlled democracy. What have you learnt from the experience?
A. There is a tendency in Pakistan, due to military dictatorships and one-man rule, to think that one person can make all the difference. But in a democratic system, it is not just one person that makes a difference. A democratic ruler, such as myself, functions within the confines of the constitution. We need a civic consensus on what a constitution should be and what constitutes freedom and plurality. I had to work on the mandate I was given and that is why I say that we did not achieve much. I had to work with the 8th amendment and a president who could sack the prime minister. In other words, some elements in the intelligence agencies used the president when they felt I was becoming too powerful. They never allowed us enough time to elect members of the senate which would have made my party — and the democratic forces — stronger. The real solution lies not with any individual. I can only give a clarion call. Then it depends on the masses whether they rally around that call to say that they want a constitution based on the supremacy of the will of the people and that the prime minister and parliament must determine national security and not the military.

Q. Did you attempt to rein in the intelligence agencies when you were in power?
A. Yes, I did. For instance, in December 1988, within a week of my forming the government, Brigadier Imtiaz working at the ISI Internal began contacting political parties to overthrow my government. My political adviser at the time, General Babar, moved to have him replaced. The army refused initially, though later, Brigadier Imtiaz was removed from the ISI Internal, not from the army itself. So, I tried but they defied me and because of the 8th amendment, I could not remove any officer myself. We collected proof, in 1989, of ISI elements visiting MNAs for a no-confidence move. We made audio tapes. The head of the MI entered my office and saw the photograph of the man who had been approaching my MNAs. He panicked, took the photograph and the tape and then sent me a report saying the man in question was deranged. In 1990, when the ISI launched a similar effort, we made a videotape called Operation Jackal . A serving army officer, Brigadier Imtiaz, technically not in the ISI but substantively still there, was taped saying: ‘the army does not want her, the president does not want her, the Americans don’t want her’. He was seeking the support of parliamentarians to oust the government. I gave that tape, substantive proof of treason, to General Beg. He filibustered.

On March 23, 1989, the army jawans mobbed me in a show of support when I went to the Pakistan Day parade. General Beg panicked. I was used to being mobbed and public adulation. I told him it was all right. The support waned when the intelligence agencies — sometimes the ISI, sometimes the MI, at others the FIT and the FIU and even the corps command — intrigued. Poisonous stories were prepared and circulated to the corps
remove you and replace you with General Imtiaz as COAS’. It was a ridiculous story but he believed it. They told Ghulam Ishaq Khan that, ‘If she gets a senate majority, she’ll impeach you and replace you with Yahya Bakhtiar’. They concocted these stories. They went to one of my party leaders and said, ‘Get 10 MNAs and we will make you prime minister’. A corps commander went to my husband in 1989 and said that they could not salute a woman. ‘Let her make you prime minister as we have no problems with the PPP’.
In 1993, they sent a Middle Eastern prince to tell me the same thing — that Nawaz was going but I should bow out because if I fought, things would be different.

Q. Can you provide further examples of how the military establishment and the intelligence agencies operated to destabilise democracy during your first tenure?
A. I have two witnesses who tell me that they attended two similar meetings arranged by a then- serving corps commander during my first term. In these meetings, the corps commander, Nawaz Sharif and Osama Bin Laden were present. Osama Bin Laden was told that a woman in this position was against Islam so he should give

Eventually, under pressure, Beg just retired the man whereas he should have been tried for treason. Then, when the no-confidence move failed, I was approached by my MPAs in the NWFP who said that General Beg had called them to the GHQ and said, ‘We want to get rid of her starting with the NWFP and could you please move a no- confidence vote against her.’ So, a
commanders and the jawans to put the seeds of hatred in people’s hearts. These included false stories of corruption, of Indian agents, of Jewish agents, of American agents, Sikh lists. Thus, an impression was created that we are corrupt traitors and even our supporters turned against us. Beg was with me till the Intelligence worked on him and convinced him that ‘she wants to
them money to overthrow me. And then Nawaz said that he would bring Islam to Pakistan. Does the public think these things need to be investigated independently or not? No one had heard of Osama Bin Laden then. I had not either. He is famous now. In those days he was unknown but he was sitting there interfering in my government. He paid 10 million dollars to finance the

Q. Can you provide further examples of how the military establishment and the intelligence agencies operated to destabilise democracy during your first tenure?
A. I have two witnesses who tell me that they attended two similar meetings arranged by a then- serving corps commander during my first term. In these meetings, the corps commander, Nawaz Sharif and Osama Bin Laden were present. Osama Bin Laden was told that a woman in this position was against Islam so he should give them money to overthrow me. And then Nawaz said that he would bring Islam to Pakistan. Does the public think these things need to be investigated independently or not? No one had heard of Osama Bin Laden then. I had not either. He is famous now. In those days he was unknown but he was sitting there interfering in my government. He paid 10 million dollars to finance theno-confidence move against me. At that time, we heard that the money came from Saudi Arabia. I sent a minister to meet King Fahd. He has been very kind to me and I really like him. He is an urbane, generous and kind man. I told my emissary to remind the king that he had said to me: ‘Ali Bhutto was my brother and my friend. I opposed his murder. I thought it was unjust then and I think it is unjust now. You are like my daughter’. Then how come he was sending money to overthrow my government?
He sent back a message saying that the Saudi government was not involved and it was a private Saudi citizen. Later on, from these two individuals who were with the PML then but are with us now, I learnt that the meetings involved Sharif, a then-serving corps commander and Osama and they wheedled 10 million dollars out of Osama to overthrow the government.
Meanwhile, my parliamentarians informed me that they were offered a million dollars each by Mr. Ghulam Mustafa Jatoi to get rid of me. I like Mr. Jatoi. He treats me like a daughter and personally I have no problem with him. But I do think Mr. Jatoi and I both owe it to the nation that the facts should come out.
I set up my own Trojan horse. I told the MNAs to go ahead and take the money. ‘Let them think you are with them’. That is how they lost the no-confidence motion. My four MNAs were counted against me but they did not crossover and two more joined me. Otherwise they had it all set. And then we had this very funny incident when these four MNAs came to the prime minister’s house with briefcases of money and said, ‘You take it’, and I said, ‘No, I cannot’. In the end, of course, the money was not taken but the fact remains that these sorts of sums were paid for no-confidence votes. And they were not paid by the political parties but by the intelligence agencies and rogue elements in the military as well as right-wing adventurists.
And at the SAF games, Beg sat next to me with a very satisfied smile on his face. When three PML MNAs came and sat next to me, his face fell. ‘What are they doing here?’ he asked me in panic. I smiled and said they had joined the government. ‘Isn’t that wonderful?’ Beg just looked like a ghost. And then we were accused of horse-trading and corruption. Thus the intelligence agencies try to create a ‘heads, I win, tails, you lose’ situation for the political class. This simply cannot continue…

“We cannot have an army or intelligence agencies that constantly destabilise governments. We cannot have rogue elements incessantly violating their oath and plunging the nation into crises.”

To read the interview click here BB’s interview 2000 Annual Issue

Syndicated from: Pak Tea House

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2011: The Year of Feuds

Posted on 18 January 2012 by Tea Server

Spats, brawls, scuffles, tiffs and quibbles: call them what you want but 2011 was full of confrontations and Newsline recaps the biggest face-offs of 2011.

Syndicated from: Newsline » Viewpoint

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People versus Democracy

Posted on 17 January 2012 by Tea Server



Are we eventually not back to the square one? The ever so familiar situation repeating itself every so often _ the civil military stand off and the government and judiciary finding themselves at loggerheads yet again feeding ample fodder to the insatiable milling machine of media thankfully to sensationalize and spice things up to their liking, churning out conspiracy theories by creating an unnecessary hype at times while acting irresponsibly by neglecting the imperative developments and details at others to mislead ( read to keep informed) the public at large but to keep their business and entertainment (talk) shows going round the clock.

The history is perhaps tired of repeating itself over and over again but we are not. While the cynical circular spectrum of events continue to go round and round statically with no linear development over the six decades, interestingly the question remains who is actually at fault?

Was the judiciary at fault when ZAB riding the crest of a mammoth tide of popularism was hanged? Certainly! Was the judiciary at fault when the over zealous Sultan Muhammad Nawaz Sharif stormed the supreme court overwhelmed by his lust of power? Certainly not! Is the judiciary at fault now when it is taking government to task over a couple of security and political issues? Anybody’s guess!

More? Was the democratically elected  Mr. Nawaz Sharif at fault when he dismissed the then COAS Musharraf or was the military takeover a logical reaction to Sharif’s voracious desire for omnipotence while undermining the freedom of various state institutions?

While it appears deceptively simple to single out Army as the most criminal force and factor in the equation that has arguably rooted out seeds of democratic culture that have been sown time and again but haven’t the democratic institutions failed time and again and caved in owing to their intrinsic weakness, imbalance, disharmony and reckless measures? I am certainly not for khakis to step in or marching boots to trample the constitution at their own free will. There are far too many lessons to learn from the autocratic Islamic revolution led by Hazarat General Muhammad Zia ul Haq and later, in stark contrast, the radiant era of “Renaissance” unleashed by enlightened moderator Mush -  both reminding us of the ages of darkness ironically in one way or the other. But the fact remains that unlike the rest, Military is the only disciplined and organized institution of the state with supposedly far less public dealing and external influence. In all fairness, doesn’t Military get more than its due share of blame for the failure of state or democratic process or institutions? Again, even if for the argument’s sake, Military is the mother of all ills, isn’t failure of a major state institution to understand its due role and to overstep its limits or jurisdiction blatantly time and again be deemed as the failure of democracy or system itself?

If so, this brings us back to the million dollar question, how in the world do the tenets of Western democracy offer the best solution to our typical political, social and economic problems that have failed to grab roots in sixty four years?

If going to the polls with 35 million bogus registered votes every now and then and casting our vote in the favour of the candidate solely on the basis of birardari or “kinship” as Anatol Lieven ( Pakistan a hard country) puts it, earns us the license to be a democratic state, who are we fooling by expecting a change to take place simply by sticking to this ritual? Not to undermine our society, but have we got the literacy, awareness, religious and social freedom and justice, tradition and maturity to inculcate that culture of expression of freedom, tolerance, mutual respect, equal rights for all human beings that constitute the spirit of democracy together?

If not, then why are we obsessed with the secular models of Western democracy that will never work for us or has never gained roots in the sixty four years of the existence of Pakistan as a state?

My dear friends and intellectuals who cannot see beyond the dazzling virtues of democracy and exist as if only to keep on harping about it, let us be honest and analyze is democracy the only system that has brought about change coupled with social and economic uplift round the globe or region? We may snub China for poor human rights standings but what has brought about that magnificent rise in its economic power and splendour? Democracy? Why forget the real Asian tigers, Singapore? While the state has remained a kingdom with no natural resources of its own (even the drinking water is to be imported from the neighbouring Malaysia), who can deny the remarkable turn around in its stature and economic fate that has earned it the informal title of the ‘Most orderly state” in the world just in a few decades?

Call it our mindset but name a single mainstream political party that has nurtured democratic culture within its rank and file. Does passing the leadership on to the next generation or the members of the family like personal fiefdom or heritage not negate the spirit of the democracy itself? Or is it perfectly cool to build on a monarchy of  Sharifs, Bhuttos, Zardaris while harping about democratic traditions and process?

To cut it short, there may well be countless virtues to democracy. It may still be the best form of governance. But what good is it if it does not deliver, instead dis-enfranchising the masses to the point where the state is brought to the brink of its existential threat?

To me, democracy is after all a means or mode to deliver!

Bad-governance-poor-democracy-in-pakistan-why

Syndicated from: Borderline Green

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Evolution or Revolution?

Posted on 16 January 2012 by Tea Server

Are we eventually not back to the square one? The ever so familiar situation repeating itself every so often _ the civil military stand off and the government and judiciary finding themselves at loggerheads yet again feeding ample fodder to the insatiable milling machine of media thankfully to sensationalize and spice things up to their liking, churning out conspiracy theories by creating an unnecessary hype at times while acting irresponsibly by neglecting the imperative developments and details at others to mislead ( read to keep informed) the public at large but to keep their business and entertainment (talk) shows going round the clock. 

The history is perhaps tired of repeating itself over and over again but we are not. While the cynical circular spectrum of events continue to go round and round statically with no linear development over the six decades, interestingly the question remains who is actually at fault? 

Was the judiciary at fault when ZAB riding the crest of a mammoth tide of popularism was hanged? Certainly! Was the judiciary at fault when the over zealous Sultan Muhammad Nawaz Sharif stormed the supreme court overwhelmed by his lust of power? Certainly not! Is the judiciary at fault now when it is taking government to task over a couple of security and political issues? Anybody’s guess! 

More? Was it democratically elected Nawaz Sharif at fault when he dismissed the then COAS Musharraf or was the military takeover a logical reaction to Sharif’s voracious desire for omnipotence while undermining the freedom of various state institutions? 

While it appears deceptively simple to single out Army as the most criminal force and factor in the equation that has arguably rooted out seeds of democratic culture that have been sown time and again but haven’t the democratic institutions failed time and again and caved in owing to their intrinsic weakness, imbalance, disharmony and reckless measures? I am certainly not for khakis to step in or marching boots to trample the constitution at their own free will. There are far too many lessons to learn from the autocratic Islamic revolution led by Hazarat General Muhammad Zia ul Haq and later, in stark contrast, the radiant era of “Renaissance” unleashed by enlightened moderator Mush__ both reminding us of the ages of darkness ironically in one way or the other. But the fact remains that unlike the rest, Military is the only disciplined and organized institution of the state with supposedly far less public dealing and external influence. In all fairness, doesn’t Military get more than its due share of blame for the failure of state or democratic process or institutions? Again, even if for the argument’s sake, Military is the mother of all ills, isn’t failure of a major state institution to understand its due role and to overstep its limits or jurisdiction blatantly time and again be deemed as the failure of democracy or system itself? 

If so, this brings us back to the million dollar question, how in the world do the tenets of western democracy offer the best solution to our typical political, social and economic problems that have failed to grab roots in sixty four years?

 If going to the polls with 35 million bogus registered votes every now and then and casting our vote in the favour of the candidate solely on the basis of birardari or “kinship” as Anatol Lieven ( Pakistan a hard country) puts it earns us the licence to be a democratic state, who are we fooling by expecting a change to take place simply by sticking to this ritual? Not to undermine our society, but have we got the literacy, awareness, religious and social freedom and justice, tradition and maturity to inculcate that culture of expression of freedom, tolerance, mutual respect, equal rights for all human beings that constitute the spirit of democracy together?   

If not, then why are we obsessed with the secular models of western democracy that will never work for us or has never gained roots in the sixty four years of the existence ofPakistanas a state? 

My dear friends and intellectuals who cannot see beyond the dazzling virtues of democracy and exist as if only to keep on harping about it, let us be honest and analyze is democracy the only system that has brought about change coupled with social and economic upliftment round the globe or region? We may snub China for poor human rights standings but what has brought about that magnificent rise in its economic power and splendour? Democracy? Why forget the Asian tigersSingapore? While the state has remained a kingdom with no natural resources of its own (even the drinking water is to be imported from the neighbouring Malaysia), who can deny the remarkable turn around in its stature and economic fate that has earned it the informal title of the ‘Most orderly state” in the world just in a few decades? 

Call it our mindset but name a single mainstream political party that has nurtured democratic culture within its rank and file. Does passing the leadership on to the next generation or the memebers of the family like personal fiefdom or heritage does not negate the spirit of the democracy itself? Or is it perfectly cool to build on a monarchy of  Sharifs, Bhuttos, Zardaris & Madaris while harping about democratic traditions and process?

To cut it short, there may well be countless virtues and democracy may still be the best form of governance but what good is it if it does not deliver but rather dis-enfranchise the masses to the point where the state is brought to the brink of its existential threat?

To me, democracy is after all a means or mode to deliver! 

Syndicated from: The Delirious Outbursts!

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The Next 3 Months of Pakistani Politics

Posted on 16 January 2012 by Tea Server

Photo Credit: SANA News Agency

To say that Pakistan is ahappening place would be an understatement, we are a country that has atsunami, flood and even an earthquake coming but thankfully all this is justcoming in the political sense. With the political situation changing so rapidlyit is no wonder that our media is mostly in frenzy leaving us the public withno clear indication as to what is going on and where we are headed in the nextfew months. In this blog I intend to actually do exactly that, provide someclarity as to where we are going and how we are getting there.

So to start of let me make itvery clear that the Government is going nowhere. I know that you keep hearingthrough the media and other sources that may be there is something going andthat very soon this government is going to wrap up, but it is not going tohappen. Yes the PM has been asked to appear in court but that has been done in the past as well and worst case scenario would be that the PM would be forced to resign. That does not mean that the NA will fold. Instead what is going to happen is this, Senate elections are going to happenon time and once they are done, the government is going to give a date forelections and dissolve the Parliament. About a week ago PML N the majoropposition party agreed in principle that they would not do anything thatjeopardizes the Senate elections based on the promise that the Government wouldfold immediately afterwards. Now the deal is, once the government wraps up,Elections are to be held in about 90 days. That means given that the Senateelection is done and the new Senators take oath, the time would be aroundmiddle of March. The Government would ideally be dissolved around middle ofApril and then the Election date would be set for something like middle ofAugust or September.
Photo Credit: Reuters

This settlement works out foreveryone for different reasons. Firstly the Senate is elected based onprovincial seats. That means that if you have enough provincial seats, you getto have proportional seats in the Senate. The biggest beneficiaries of this arethe PPP and PML N who gain substantial seats in the Senate. Holding the Senateinsures that even if the General Elections are a mess and PPP along with PML Nwere to suffer losses, they would still hold one house of the Parliament. Thisalso means that the Chairman Senate would be a compromise candidate who will beacceptable to all parties involved and for that the name being thrown around isthat of Aitezaz Ahsan, someone who is acceptable to everyone. In case you didnot know, the Chairman Senate is also the Acting President by default. So ifthere were to be a situation where the President was to be forced out, a PPPperson would still hold the office.

Secondly, NADRA cannot completethe voter list updating by the court appointed date of Feb 23rd.There is absolutely no way that they can manage that and there is a very goodchance that the whole exercise would have to be extended for a few moremonths.  This means that no matter whathappens, the voter lists are not going to be ready and that elections would beheld until they are.

Photo Credit: The Nation
Thirdly, the opposition has beenworking overtime to form alliances to ensure that the PPP led coalition doesnot come back in elections. Opposition parties fear that if the government wereto be forcibly sent home in the next few months, they would go out as PoliticalMartyrs and this would just help them bounce back in the elections. The logicalway for the opposition to operate is to let the PPP led coalition burn out andcall for elections on their own as that way the whole Political Martyr carddoes not get used. This also gives time for the PML N led opposition to cobbletogether an alliance with other parties namely JI and Baloch Nationalists.  That alliance would have a very strong chanceof doing well in the elections as it would be able to cast a wider netnationwide. But the sticking point in that whole negation is the Munawwar Hasanof the JI who refuses to sit with PML N and instead wants his party to sit withPTI. But JI the party refuses to sit with PTI and instead wants to join handswith the PML N, so there is an internal debate going on in the JI with regardsto which side they wish to proceed to. Based on the Qazi-Nawaz meeting a coupleof days ago, it looks like that the JI is going to go with PML N. In additionto this alliance in the making, the PTI is continuing its policy of taking inanyone and everyone and right now they are involved in a prolonged negotiationwith the PML Like Minded group who have left the Q league and are being refusedentry in the PML N. The sticking point there seems to be that PTI does not wantthem to join as a group but to negotiate their terms on individual basis likeQasuris and the Legharis but the PML Like Minded refuse to negotiateindividually. That whole situation will pan out soon as they have nowhere elseto go and PTI knows that.

Lastly, the Supreme Court isgoing over a few high profile cases at the moment and these cases are going toreach their climax around March. All the Commissions are going to startwrapping up their investigations around that period of time too. A number ofcredible sources maintain that in nearly all cases the PM would bear the bruntand would probably be declared unfit for office. He would resign and face thecourts while the PPP led coalition elects an alternative PM.

The next 3 months are going to bevery interesting. The path I have spelled out above is the one that iseventually going to be followed. Now that you have a good idea of what is goingto be happening, enjoy the media frenzy and the whole political show. 
Syndicated from: Seedhi Baat

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Early Elections Seen as Possible Solution to Pakistan’s Political Crisis

Posted on 16 January 2012 by Tea Server

By Saeed Shah for The Miami Herald

Pakistan’s political crisis, which pits its president against determined opponents in foes in Parliament, the Supreme Court and the military, is likely to reach fever pitch on Monday with a confidence vote scheduled in Parliament and hearings scheduled in two critical court cases.

The crisis is so intense that President Asif Zardari’s administration may be willing to call elections for as soon as October, according to members of his ruling coalition and its advisers. But that may not be enough to mollify the opposition, which wants earlier elections, or the country’s powerful military establishment, which is believed to be trying to force a so-called “soft coup,” under which Zardari, a critic of the military’s traditional dominance of Pakistan, would be forced out by Parliament or the courts.

The threat of an outright coup also hangs over the crisis, if the politicians cannot find a way out or the court proceedings reach absolute stalemate.

Whether the government can reach agreement with opposition leader Nawaz Sharif is unclear. Zardari’s Pakistan Peoples Party doesn’t want to announce elections until after voting in March for a new Senate, which the PPP is widely expected to win. But Sharif would like the new elections to be in the summer, perhaps June, which would require an earlier announcement.

“There is no other option for the government to come out of the current crisis without elections,” said an adviser to the PPP leadership, who spoke on condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of the issue, as did the other coalition members. “It is in the interests of the PPP to reach an agreement with Nawaz.”

The PPP rules with three major coalition partners, but the alliance is looking shaky. Two of the parties, the Muttahida Quami Movement (MQM) and the Pakistan Muslim League-Q, have distanced themselves somewhat from the government.

A senior member of the coalition said the parties so far have agreed internally only to a general election to be held in October. That would be just a few months before the February 2013 date when Parliament would complete its five-year term and elections would have to be held anyway.

An early election should also placate the courts and the military. A supposedly neutral caretaker government would have to be installed to oversee a three-month electioneering period.

Another coalition member said: “It is 100 percent certain that there will be elections in 2012. The only solution is elections. It doesn’t matter whether they are held in June or October.”

Zardari’s coalition itself brought Monday’s confidence vote resolution to Parliament, cleverly wording it so that it asks for support not for the prime minister or even the government, but for democracy. That makes it difficult to oppose.

But the PPP’s troubles in Parliament are only one of the fronts in its battle for survival. The courts and the military are both maneuvering against the party’s leaders, with two explosive cases coming up for hearings Monday.

The first stems from a 2007 decree by President Pervez Musharraf that granted immunity from prosecution to Zardari and other exiled PPP politicians in an effort to persuade them to return to Pakistan to participate in elections that Musharraf was being pressured by the United States to hold.

The Supreme Court later ruled, however, that the decree was illegal and demanded that the government reopen corruption charges against Zardari stemming from the time when his wife, the assassinated PPP leader Benazir Bhutto, was prime minister.

The government declined, however, and now the court has summoned the government to explain its actions. The court could declare Prime Minister Yousaf Raza Gilani in contempt of court, which would in effect remove him from office.

The other case involves the the scandal in which a judicial commission is investigating allegations that Husain Haqqani, a close Zardari adviser and former ambassador to the U.S., wrote a memo that was passed to U.S. officials in May. That memo offered to replace the Pakistan military’s top officials in return for U.S. support should the military attempt to push Zardari aside.

Haqqani, who was forced to resign, says he had nothing to do with the memo, which the military has said amounted to treason.

The judicial commission may take testimony this week from an American businessman, and occasional news commentator, Mansoor Ijaz, who claimed that he had delivered the memo to U.S. officials, in a column that appeared in the British newspaper the Financial Times in October. Ijaz has said he will show up as a witness, though he apparently has yet to receive a visa to enter Pakistan.

Filed under: Afghanistan, American Muslims, Democracy, Freedoms, Pakistan, Pakistan Army, Pakistanis, President Obama, Taliban, United States, US Army Tagged: Asif Ali Zardari, General Ashfaq Pervez Kayani, Imran Khan, Mansoor Ijaz, Memogate, MQM, Muttahida Quami Movement, Nawaz Sharif, Pakistan, Pakistan Muslim League-Q, Pakistan Parliment, Pervez Musharraf, PPP, Yousuf Raza Gilani

Syndicated from: Pakistanis for Peace

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Nawaz advices government to hold early elections

Posted on 14 January 2012 by Tea Server

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz (PML-N) chief Nawaz Sharif on Friday said that the government should hold general elections as early as possible in order to avoid ‘mishap’ in the country, DawnNews reported. Sharif said that coalition partners of the Pakistan Peoples Party (PPP) government were equally responsible for the crisis in the country. “Wisdom demands [...]

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سیاسی شہادت، ٹویَٹراور انقلابی اشعار

Posted on 14 January 2012 by Tea Server

Syndicated from: Kashifiat’s Blog

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Memogate: Here we go again!

Posted on 13 January 2012 by Tea Server



One of the thrills of life is following Pakistani politics. Never a dull moment in this comedy or farce or tragedy, depending on your sentiments towards the motherland. As far as I am concerned our national politics functions somewhat on the pattern of a merry-go-round. The riders may get a feeling of moving fast but they always remain equidistant from the central pole.

This has now been going on for ages. Whether things are hectic or slow, a lull or a storm, there are only two guaranteed facts. One, all participants of the process, some of them can also be politicians, will come of the ride slightly dizzy, and two, that nothing is going to move the central pole. For the central pole please read the Pakistan armed forces and the allegory will make even more sense.

I am sure the whole world must be watching the latest comic episode that we have managed to conjure up, or should I say the ISI has managed to produce, the Memogate.

Running to packed houses we have a world class show on display. Have to hand it to our intelligence spooks, they have managed to come up with a plot which even Spielberg would be hard pressed to match.

The storyline is amazing. Our ambassador to USA, Mr. Haqqani, who was previously regularly accused of being USA’s ambassador to Pakistan, was allotted a particularly impossible mission by our President. He was to pass a message to the President Barak Obama that the Pakistan military would likely overthrow the civilian government in the aftermath of the Osama Bin Laden episode !!!

Amazing plot to jolt you wide awake, isn’t it? This at a time when our army was the laughing stock of the whole of Pakistan, Kiyani was running around addressing open army durbars in order to avoid a mutiny, and our chief spook Pasha was actually offering to resign. What else would a good soldier think of at this time but to indulge in the time honored pastime of staging a coup. Makes perfect sense.

But wait, this is not all. Mr. Haqqani then goes and sleeps over this momentous task, has a Bram Stoker like nightmare and comes up with a perfect solution. Have to hand it to our dear James Bond in making, never do simply which you can complicate infinitely. Not for him the simple matter of calling up the White House or the Pentagon, no sir, our man had class . He contacts the most reliable person in the world, a certified CIA double agent, Mr. Mansoor Ijaz, who he then texts various self incriminating messages.

Mansoor Ijaz’s background makes for very interesting reading indeed. Crooks in the UK of the old favored running supermarkets or car maintenance garages as both provided ample opportunities for processing large amounts of money. Modern gentlemen of this ilk prefer to be investment bankers which Mansoor Ijaz is. He also has the dubious honor of having ties with ex CIA director James Woolsey and retired General James Abrahamson, former director of the Strategic Defense Initiative of President Regan. And he appears on FOX channel.

With a background like this, Mansoor Ijaz would have had difficulty getting credit from his neighborhood grocery store, but apparently had the fullest trust of Hussain Haqani.

The real nice piece in this whole saga is that our President, who has a direct line to the White House, allegedly goes on to make commitments to USA in the memo which would have Barak Obama rolling about in tears. It promises among others US oversight of our nuclear programme, handing over of jihadi’s sponsored by ISI, cooperation with our western neighbors on Mumbai attacks, disbanding of section “S” of ISI etc.

Oh, by the way, the memo is written on behalf of the National Security Team. Something which simply does not exist. But then when have facts stopped our spooks from spinning a real good yarn.

But the real fun is in the manner our Army has responded to all of this. General Pasha flew off to London to interview Mansoor Ijaz. The meeting naturally enough took place in the Intercontinental, Park Lane, London, where the good General had thankfully rented out a one bedroom suite at the very reasonable rate of £ 715 per night. This trip was off course undertaken without the unnecessary waste of time in getting any government approval. The army then went around expressing great indignation at this threat to national security.

This matter would have died a natural death, because of its sheer absurdity, but for one of our most well meaning, but severely mentally challenged, politician, if that’s the word, Mr. Nawaz Sharif. Our ex prime minister (twice) is one of those rare people who has an immaculate sense of timing. He always manages to do the right thing at the wrong time.

So what does Nawaz Sharif do, but go and petition the Supreme Court. Poor guy, he had hoped to get rid of Zardari and Kiyani at one go. This, as his other grand designs in the near past, will however remain a dream. All that he has managed to do is give the Army a perfect launch pad for a propaganda war against our elected leaders.

One goes weary looking at all this. But then we Pakistanis seem to have been marked out to have these tamashas on a regular basis. The bad news for the politicians, and us poor civilians, is that the Faujis are again going to have the last laugh on our expense. I fear the future is not looking too bright for the present political setup. The enthusiasm of the masses for the political process seems to have unnerved the military who have consistently bad mouthed politics and politicians for decades.

The latest on the court case is that the council for the defense. Ms. Asma Jehangir has withdrawn from the case, alleging undue influence on the honorable justices from the establishment. The establishment being an oblique reference to our dear friends in the uniform. Mr. Haqqani in the meantime remains holed up with the President or the Prime Minister claiming that his life is in danger if he ventures out.

Whatever happens in this saga next, one thing is sure. The merry-go-round is unlikely to slow down anytime soon.

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Syndicated from: Borderline Green

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Beware you are in for a joke…

Posted on 13 January 2012 by Tea Server



I have often heard my elders say that we are an emotional people. Isn’t it true? When I was quite young and it was Nawaz Sharif ruling over Pakistan, he asked for some kind of ‘help’ from the mothers and daughters of the nation. I hear of it that women sold their gold to help the dear prime minister back in the 90s. Last year Imran Khan rose to considerable power and his mesmerizing jalsas echoed of brilliant promises and honesty and clean politicians and what not and we readily believed him, arguing with the ‘pessimists’ of Pakistan on offending us over being anti PTI. Well we have our fingers crossed as politician after politician converts to PTI’s ideology and there is supposedly another PTI Nazriati in its formation of the ones left PTI! It’s a matter to be followed in the days to come. And i digress. My heart is broken over another interesting incident.

Shamsul Anwar the great. Haven’t you heard of this chap’s tragic story? It’s an ‘inspiring’ tale of a man, an ex Army soldier, living in Rawalpindi with his eight children. If you haven’t please read here, Shamsul Anwar’s story for I don’t have the heart to narrate it again though this time equipped with more appropriate emotions! I happened to read about it online and was overcome with overwhelming emotions only yesterday. There was me reading into the detailed story of this man Shamsul Anwar with empathy and concern. I was appalled at the brutality of the mentioned terrorists, I was amazed at the bravery of this courageous man, I felt sorry for his wife and children. My heart went out to him and the emotional breakdown he and his wife had to face for years since 2006. I imagined what horrors his sons would have faced in captivity and what mental torture his naïve daughter would be going through now. There was his contact number, bank account number to help the penniless guy in getting back his kidnapped daughter of 14.

With a heavy heart I narrated the heart wrenching story of this vulnerable man to my family to which my mother got quite upset. I was relieved to see that people had started making donations for his help. I was shocked at the cruel, cold blooded behavior of the terrorists. What else to expect of them I thought to myself. There were many friends on Facebook who shared the story of this poor man and I thought, this is the tragedy of an honest brave man. The day ended pitying no one but Shamsul Anwar.

Today started with a blow in the face. As I browsed through Facebook, I read “Police arrest ‘ransom money’ scammer” Shamsul Anwar. To authenticate the news story further I surfed up other newspapers but only one paper revealed that the sympathy gainer man from Rawalpindi was actually a fraud. He had  planned the whole scam to get money out of people by playing on their emotions. There was kidnapping of his sons in 2006, there was no kidnapping of his daughter early last year, and there were no threats for ransom money from the terrorists after him. In fact his daughter is happily married !  Nothing at all I asked myself as I read and re read the truth? There was actually an awkward moment of truth. The man who was innocent and brave until yesterday turned out to be a fraudulent today. I realized that I have been fooled. The emotions of sympathy turned into anger soon followed by disappointment. By the time I shared the latest update on the scam story I was laughing to myself and thinking ‘really I have been made a fool?’

Like me a lot of my friends and people who had believed in this cleverly fabricated story felt deceived and cheated. One of my friends on Facebook said ‘…I feel stupid… you know Pakistani people are not insensitive, they’re just suspicious and this is one example of why they should be cynical’.

Maybe there is nothing to be surprised of. When our politicians can make us idiot time and again, this man is still one of us. He is doing nothing different. But the seriousness of the matter is that if, God forbid, a real kidnapping happens and a man asks for help, people will be reluctant to lend a helping hand.  One is nonetheless forced to think what of the morals? What of the value of truth? Most importantly what to believe in the world of virtual realities…

But before we find ourselves in for another surprise in this story, before we jump to any major conclusions, let’s wait and see what unfolds for it could be something else God knows…

For the time being I think its just better if we keep believing in fairies and Santa Claus. Sigh

Syndicated from: Borderline Green

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Civil Military Relations in Pakistan

Posted on 12 January 2012 by Tea Server

By Harry Pasha:

With pressure mounting on the PPP government and President Zardari at the center of every new crisis, it appears that the house he built by patching together some deals is crumbling faster than a thatched cabin pulverized by a fierce typhoon. The formidable alliance he cobbled together with major political parties is shaken up by the establishment assault and appears to be near collapse.

Pakistan’s history is replete with similar stories. Contrary to the common belief, the Army started interfering in country’s politics when it first helped Gov. Ghulam Mohammed remove the second PM Nazimuddin from power in 1953. US ambassador in his confidential Memo to the State Dept stated: “<b>Nazimuddin dismissal was planned and accomplished through combined efforts of Army leadership (specifically Def Secy Iskander Mirza and C-in-C Gen Ayub) and Gov Gen himself</b>”. “the Governor-General, Mr. Ghulam Mohammed could never have dared to dismiss a Ministry which had appointed him, had he not have had the support of the Army. The Army would take its cue from the Defense Secretariat. Therefore this is in fact a coup d’etat by Mr. Iskander Mirza and the Army, which has nominated Mr. Mohammed Ali as its agent.” In 1952 Gen. Ayub Khan told the US Consul General in Lahore, “<b>that the Pakistan Army will not allow the political leaders to get out of hand and the same is true regarding the people of Pakistan. He stated that he realized that the Army was taking on a large responsibility, but that the Army’s duty was to protect the country.</b>”
Gen. Ayub was planning to take over the government since 1953 and had informed the US embassy in no uncertain terms that the Pakistan Army would immediately declare martial law and take charge of the situation… and “<b>the Pakistan Army would not allow either politicians or the public to ruin the country</b>”. Ayub had arbitrarily decided that he would not allow even the people of Pakistan to decide the fate of country and he or the Army would make that decision. Pakistan had and still is paying a huge price for the haughty worldview of the Army Generals. References Below.

The Army cultivated US from the early 1950s to become its important ally in the region. The various defense agreements that Pakistan signed with the US enhanced the image of the Army in the general public and allowed the Army to become the most powerful political faction in Pakistan. Initially, the US would go along with the Pakistan Army’s coup but after the Soviet Union withdrawal from Afghanistan in the late 1980s, the US developed a policy in the area that called for some form of partnership between the Army and the civilians and the first Benazir government in 1989 was the first beneficiary of the change in US policy after Gen. Zia died in mysterious circumstances.

<b>Jon Alterman, a very typical member of the National Security priesthood in the US recently re-emphasis the policy in Egypt’s context and he wrote, “American interests,however, call for a different outcome, one that finds a balance — however uneasy — between the military authorities and … politicians.” </B>  NYT see below.

The policy was again implemented in Pakistan when an uneasy alliance between the Musharraf government and the PPP was presented to the people of Pakistan in 2007-08; the partnership with the PPP was agreed upon and mediated by Condoleezza Rice, former US Sec of State.

The Kerry Lugar Bill in 2009, in the Army’s view, broke the agreement the Army had with the US and the Zardari government as the K-L Bill called for stopping all US Aid to Pakistan in case of the Army interference. The Army believed that the Army agreed to a partnership with the civilians but the K-L bill clearly put the Civilian government on top and that was not acceptable to the Army.

The narrative of often uneasy relationship is not confined to Pakistan only and many countries including the US share many forms of often contentions and sometime mutually acceptable partnership between the Military and the civilian governments.

The government in the US itself has developed in to a partnership between the civilians and the Pentagon. With strong democratic currents and tradition of regular elections, the civilian organs such as the House of Representatives, the Senate, and the White House wield more power in the internal affairs but the Pentagon input is vital in running the foreign and defense policy of the US. One sociologist C. Wright Mills wrote extensively on the military-civilian Partnership in the US in the mid fifties and presented the idea of the Power Elite. Later it was publicly acknowledged by President Eisenhower when he talked about the rising Military-Industrial complex in the US in 1961. There were many conflicts between the White House and the Pentagon within the Kennedy Administration over Cuba. Preside Johnson was pressured in to sending more troops to Vietnam by the Pentagon. He ended up ceding the control of the Vietnam War and his foreign policy to the Pentagon. During the Clinton Admin, the Pentagon refused to send ground forces to Serbia and Kosovo in 1998 and the whole operation was conducted from the Air. Recently, President George W. Bush and his political cronies also known as the Neo-cons took the lead in starting the Iraq war but soon after the start, the Bush admin lost control of its defense and foreign policy and was merely a spectator when decisions were made in Pentagon for the war on terror or the Iraq and Afghan war issues. He was so much under the Pentagon thumb that he frequently sent the Army Generals to the Congress to defend the Iraq war. The US Army Generals were repeatedly found to be parading the Congress and promoting their war policies. The famous Surge in Iraq was publicly advocated by the US Army. The Bush admin and its civilian spokesperson always deferred to Gen. David H. Petraeus, the architect of the Surge, on policy matters. There was a battle in DC between the Pentagon and the Obama White House over more troops in Afghanistan in 2009 and both parties had been talking to each in public by way of multiple leaks.

Then we have Israel where the Israeli Defense Forces popularly known as the IDF shares power with the civilians and the elected Prime Minister. In Israel usually the Defense Minister is either a former General or a representative of the IDF. The IDF enjoys a veto power over Israel’s foreign policy. Recently both the present and the former Mossad chiefs publicly disagreed with the civilian Government of PM Netanyahu over Iran’s nukes.

Turkey’s history after the First World War is also replete with battles between the civilians and the Army Generals. One Turkish Prime Minister lost his life, like ZAB did in Pakistan, over the control of the country. However, over the years and after a long struggle, the civilians appear to have an upper hand but to say that they are completely independent would not be accurate. The Turkish Army still has tremendous clout over the state affairs.

Historically, the Pakistani politicians enter the government knowing full well that they have to share powers with the Army but slowly the Army interference in even the minor issues of governance frustrates the civilian leaders. Former PM Nawaz Sharif twice ousted the COAS after he was frustrated with the undue Army interference and now Zardari government finds itself in an irretrievable situation.

Ref:

http://www.icdc.com/~paulwolf/pakistan/emerson20april1953.htm

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/12/31/opinion/egypts-real-revolution.html?_r=1

http://www.icdc.com/~paulwolf/pakistan/pakintrigue.htm#ayub

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/C._Wright_Mills

http://www.amazon.com/House-War-James-Carroll/dp/0618187804

http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0156716100/ref=cm_cr_asin_lnk/180-4248032-9540858

NOTE: The article is based on research and the references are provided at the end. I would appreciate it if the editors please not change the subject substantially as all parts ofthe article are linked with the issues involved.I have placed bold tags on some sections. Thanks.

Harry Pasha is management consultant based in the USA. He has a keen interest in Pakistani politics and US –Pakistan relations. He occasionally writes for the Sindhi daily, Kawish.

Syndicated from: Pak Tea House

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