Tag Archive | "economy"

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Leadership crisis and its impacts in Pakistan

Posted on 10 February 2012 by Tea Server

By: Shaukat Masood Zafar Pakistan’s rich human and material resource endowments have given it the potential to become a major player in the global economy. Pakistan is rich in minerals. It has good agriculture potential. The young population in Pakistan is large — as is the percentage of young who are unemployed but well-educated, meaning [...]

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Why DUNYA TV can never be trusted again…

Posted on 09 February 2012 by Tea Server

For a while now there has been a discussion about the rolethat the media plays. Throughout that discussion it has always been said thatthe media is unbiased and it is doing its duty of bringing hard facts toviewers spread all across Pakistan. The assumption has been that nomatter who owned the media outlet it would be totally unbiased when it came toreporting. And yet all the viewers and everyone involved always knew that everychannel had a specific agenda and that it would always push forward its ownversion of the truth rather than just the facts.  Actually this case was made in detailrecently by a friend of mine in his article that can be found here. Sogiven we all knew this already, yesterday’s DUNYA TV episode or shall we justcall it a broadcast was one of the saddest and most disturbing things I have seenin my life.


The All Knowing….Lucman
Starting with Mubasher Lucman, who is a talk show hostsomehow and claims to be seeking justice for all and yet he is the guy who stillowes USD 80,000 to a studio in Thailand, who went on a rant over the phone saying that Punjab has Bird Flu. Then slowly like a pathetictabloid story, the longer his argument went on, the clearer it became that there was nothing to it. Butwhile this conclusion was reached, he had already blamed the Government ofPunjab about 50 times. So in recap, he blamed the Govt. of Punjab for the BirdFlu that does not exist. Funny enough this story came in print a few days ago,and upon talking to one of the office bearers of the Poultry Association I wastold that it was a rumor to bring down the price of Chicken which recently has gone up quite a bit. It is a week old story but it was soon cleared up andretracted. But Mubasher Lucman, went on National TV or whatever DUNYA TV is,and started this rumor again without any solid proof. Within hours, DUNYATV had successfully managed to play with livelihoods of millions of people inPunjab without any proof just for the sake of making Government of Punjab lookbad.

Actual FIR that was filed against Mian Amir by the Father of one of the girls killed
Then came the  news bulletins, where most of the headlineswere categorically against the ruling government in Punjab. I mean it came to apoint where it was insane; they stopped trying to hide their hatred and just went full on against them. Be it the non BirdFlu story or the Building Collapse, everything was just simply blamed and somehowtied to the Government in Punjab. It became even sadder when DUNYA TV figuredout that an FIR had been lodged against their owner, Mian Amir who also happensto own the Punjab Group of Colleges. And that is when the figurative shit hitthe fan for DUNYA TV. Within a space of 5 minutes, they went ballistic as iftheir offices were under siege and they were broadcasting live from Homs inSyria rather than from their comfy office block in Lahore. They actually hadviolin music playing in the background while they narrated the story of HOW THEGOVERNMENT OF PUNJAB HAD LODGED AN FIR AGAINST THEIR OWNER because DUNYA TV wassaying the TRUTH. Now this claim on its own is misreporting of the highestorder as the Government of Punjab did not do that. It was the father of one of the girls killed at Punjab College’s Concertin Lahore. And to prove it, the picture above is of the FIR. IF you do not know thisstory, let me explain. You remember a few weeks ago there was a stampede at acollege concert in Lahore which was played out as the Atif Aslam Concert wherethe exit doors were shut down and a bomb threat caused a stampede resulting thedeaths of three girls. Well that story was killed off very quickly and it didnot even play once on DUNYA TV because the owner of that college was Mian Amir,who also owns Dunya TV.  But afterfailing to pay off the victim’s family, an FIR was lodged.

Owner Dunya TV and Punjab Group of
Colleges
But DUNYA TV took this and turned it in to something thatcould give them political Milage by saying the Government of Punjab did this.And what is worse is while they were reporting that the FIR was filed, they didnot mention even once in 3 hours for exactly what instance was it filed instead they did their best to spread the narrative that it because DUNYA TV had raised the Punjab Institute of Cardiology story and now they were being punished for it. Logically if that were the case, GEO and Express would have been screwed over too but no DUNYA TV did not think of that logic. 

The fact of the matter is, this whole episode has shown howchildish our media is. Within 4 hours, one media group for its own purposes hadspread a rumor that affects the livelihoods of millions of people and then hadmanaged to snub a story about their sister concern (Punjab Colleges) and turnthat in to a story of political victimization. All this took 4 hours. That isscary to say the least.

While this discussion on responsible media and the needfor media’s role to be well defined, we need to start moving towards specificsnow. The time for awareness and advocacy is nearly over; actual actions need tobe taken now. Things like what DUNYA TV did yesterday cannot be tolerated indecent or even semi-decent societies where a news channel can endanger millionsof livelihoods and then cry political victimization as part of its grand schemeof blackmailing a provincial government. We as the citizens cannot sit ideallyby and let this happen because it is insulting to our intelligence.  Channels like DUNYA TV cannot be allowed tocontinue claiming that they are independent and unbiased. They need to clarifythat they are agenda based news outlets there to provide cover for their owners’other business ventures because that is a fact. It is about time we startcalling things as they are instead of hiding behind the myth of being unbiasedand objective.

And just to remind you, Mubasher Lucman, who always goesaround claiming to be honest is the same guy who bought Twitter Followers. Who doesthat? And yet this guy did. So think about his mentality next time you hearanything coming from his mouth. And for your comic pleasure following is the video where he makes a claim about Bird Flu without presenting an iota of proof and the Anchor lets him go on without once asking for evidence. 


Syndicated from: Seedhi Baat

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Horrible democracy adventure in Pakistan

Posted on 08 February 2012 by Tea Server

By: Shaukat Masood Zafar Back in February 2008, at the dawn of another attempt at democratizing the nation, many Pakistanis yearned for a better society — one that truly brings the genuine dividends of democracy. Four years later it’s debatable whether democracy as practiced by the Pakistani politicians and understood by the electorate — has [...]

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Rs 8,500 bn corruption mars Gilani tenure: Transparency –>Ansar Abbasi, The News

Posted on 06 February 2012 by Tea Server

Transparency International Pakistan says Gilani tenure has given a loss of Rs 8,500 billions in corruption so far. Still nincompoos and corrupts in government expect people to pay taxes like “responsible” citizens. Yes, people like us who pay taxes despite corruption are responsible and they are responsible for beeing ignorant.

People should go for a collective boycott of taxes and take back the country from these evil ruling elite.

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Rs 8,500 bn corruption mars Gilani tenure: Transparency

Source : http://www.thenews.com.pk/TodaysPrintDetail.aspx?ID=12258&Cat=13

by Ansar Abbasi

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan has lost an unbelievably high amount, more than Rs8,500 billion (Rs8.5 trillion or US$94 billion), in corruption, tax evasion and bad governance during the last four years of Prime Minister Yusuf Raza Gilani’s tenure, Transparency International Pakistan (TIP) claims.

The TIP advisor, Adil Gillani, told The News that the real impact of corruption in the country’s economy is far more than what is generally estimated or what is formally uncovered. He believes that Pakistan does not need even a single penny from the outside world if it effectively checks the menace of corruption and ensures good governance.

It is generally believed that the four years of the present regime under Gilani had been the worst in terms of corruption and bad governance in the country’s history. Past records of corruption were broken and Pakistan started rising in the ranks of the most corrupt nations of the world.

There has been no check on corruption as the anti-corruption institutions like the National Accountability Bureau and Federal Investigation Agency instead of checking corruption have been siding with the corrupt.

These institutions have been helping the corrupt to get off the hook by distorting and mutilating the evidence in favour of the influential accused.
Adil Gillani, the TIP representative, who too has been haunted by the government during these years for producing corruption reports, explained that the TIP pointed out corruption of Rs390 billion in 2008, Rs450 billion in 2009, Rs825 billion in 2010 and Rs1,100 billion in 2011 under the present regime. The total of these identified cases of corruption is Rs2,765 billion.
In addition to this, he explained the following:

The minister of finance of the present regime himself confirmed corruption in FBR of over Rs500 billon per year, which makes the total Rs2,000 billion; Auditor General of Pakistan pointed out Rs315 billion corruption in 2010; Public Accounts Committee recovered Rs115 billion in 30 months till 2011; circular debt is Rs190 million; KESC was given Rs55 billion illegal benefits per annum since 2008; state-owned enterprises like PSO, PIA, Pakistan Steel, Railways, SSGC, SNGC are eating away Rs150-300 billion per annum; tax to GDP ratio in 2008 was 11%, which in 2011 has reduced to 9.1% instead of being increased.

Gillani explained that Pakistan’s Gross Domestic Product is worth US$175 billion and in the light of this the drop of 1.9% in the tax GDP means annual loss of US$ 3.3 billion. This confirms that FBR is losing Rs300 million per annum, which is annual additional loss since 2008 and stands at Rs1,200 billon in four years
The TIP adviser added that India’s tax-GDP ratio is 18%, and at that rate, Pakistan’s tax evasion/corruption in FBR is 9% of $175 billion, which is US$15.5 billion per year, i.e. Rs1,400 billion per year.

It is worth mentioning here that it is not only the Transparency International but there have been different international bodies including the World Bank and world capitals, which have been showing their concern over rising trend of corruption in Pakistan under the Gilani’s regime. It was mounting corruption and extremely bad governance, which even dithered the outside world to offer cash to Pakistan during 2010 and 2011 floods, which devastated different parts of Pakistan and affected millions of people.
At home the corruption became a fashion in such a shameless manner that even the cabinet ministers started openly pointing fingers at each other and even at the highest levels including the prime minister. Some even approached the Supreme Court but despite all this, corruption remained the hallmark of the present regime, which instead of curbing it started defending it in the name of democracy.

Syndicated from: United4justice’s Weblog

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Constant price hike: Save Pakistanis from hunger

Posted on 05 February 2012 by Tea Server

By Shaukat Masood Zafar Pakistan is facing many serious problems nowadays, but the problem of price-rise is the most serious one. The government of Pakistan and LPG producers has recently dropped three more bombshells on the people of Pakistan by increasing the price of oil products. Though many of the petroleum products are deregulated now [...]

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Energy prices…let them rise

Posted on 02 February 2012 by Tea Server

The price of oil has gone up again.


Predictably comments of how this is “democracies revenge” on the hapless people of Pakistan, and how Zardari’s corruption means we pay more at the pump.


What is frustrating is the expectation that, “if there is a shortage of gas, alteast it should be cheaper”. Every few days, some article or the other comes out where the author writes something along the lines that:


“if it wasnt enough that the people of Pakistan are suffering from electricity and gas shortages, they will be shocked to hear that the prices of the oil and gas are on the rise!”


A good example is the following:


The apathy and indifference of the members of the federal cabinet is evident from the fact that none of them paid any heed to the woes of the people who have been massively burdened with the hike in the prices of petroleum products and the imposition of a 10 percent cess on the compressed natural gas (CNG). Minister of State for Human Resource Development Shaikh Waqas Akram made a point that the increase in POL prices was too much, but no one bothered to discuss or raise the issue and all, including the prime minister, kept mum and the meeting was called off.

For one that is quite judgemental, and the article lacks facts as to what exactly was going on in the meeting. But more to the point, what does “POL prices was too much” mean exactly? What exactly is acceptable increase? And why does everyone believe that its the government responsibility to make prices lower? Who does it benefit? 



Have less therefore cheaper? 


Now it doesn’t seem to make any sense to alot of people, but it makes perfect sense to me. If a commodity is increasingly scarce its price will increase. Why does anyone expect it to fall?


The price of oil is determined by international market forces. Not free of course: OPEC tries to influence oil prices by manipulating price. Demand from China is a factor affecting energy prices. And recently, the increasingly aggressive tone between Iran and the US, and the Iranian threat to blockade the Straits of Hormuz, has contributed to rising oil prices. Then there are issues of limited refinery capacity that also contributes to higher prices.


Yes, we can argue that petroleum products are heavily taxed. Should the government lower the tax when oil prices increase to give the masses “relief”?


Spoilt silly


The problem with our consumption behaviour is that oil pricing uptil the end of the Musharaf era spoilt us badly. We became used to cheap petrol and diesel. Both were heavily subsidised.


The subsidy on petrol was plainly criminal. It resulted in a massive transfer of wealth from the have nots, to the haves. During 2002-2007, when banks were offering cars on two photocopies of an ID card and a utility bill, it was the urban, salaried class that benefited. The richer you were, the bigger your car, the more extravagant the use. And it was these people who went around filling there tanks with subsidised petrol. Who footed the bill? The taxpayer, and they continue to do so. The debt that was accumulated during this period to keep energy prices at bay in the lead up to the early 2008 elections, still remain.


The burden of that debt and the inflation that increased government borrowing caused hit the poorest hardest. The costs of inflation are dis-proportionetly felt by those on low incomes. While the well off, those people who had taken out consumer goods, including cars on finance and debt, experienced a decline in real terms, as inflations benefits debtors rather than creditors. Further, a salaried individual is more likely to enjoy annual increments in wages, not equal to, but in line with inflationary expectations. The small man is screwed both ways.


Alot of hot air


History will probably judge our move towards CNG as a major disaster. At most it should have been a source of fuel for public transport to cut down its cost. Again, its criminal to see brand new cars converted to CNG. If you can afford to own a Honda Civic or Toyota Corolla, you can afford to pay for petrol. After a decade of cheap CNG, people dont expect its price to rise. Or when it rises they expect the difference between petrol and gas prices to remain the same. However, that is neither sustainable, nor desirable. Households on low income which cant afford UPS’s and Generators, should at least be able to cook and heat there homes. Instead, the CNG Pump Owners lobby not only wants the price to fall and taxes removed, but a reduction in gas load shedding as well. Why should those with the least, have to bear the cost for some guy who can afford to buy his/her own car, but prefers to put gas in it?


Subsidies are generally a bad idea. They encourage over production and/or over consumption. It is also very difficult to make sure that those who the subsidy intends to benefit, actually benefit. Worst off, the economics of energy pricing have been co-opted by political rhetoric.


Every energy price increase is met with accusations of corruption and how democracy has brought us the gift of higher petrol/diesel prices.


The other day I read a comment on the Express Tribune which something something along the lines:


“Even when global oil prices were $142 a barrel, petrol in Pakistan was cheaper than it is now”


Well no surprises there, at that time the Musharaf government maintained the subsidy, by stopping oil prices from rising. It didnt help win him the elections, but it did insure that the new government was setup for failure.


Promises, promises, promises


The worst thing now is for opposition parties to promise lower energy prices. Its high time they all stuffed the rhetoric and say whats needed. Energy prices are going to keep on rising. What they should be focusing on, rather than promising to throw untold, 100s of billions of rupees on subsidies,  is on incentivising energy audits, improved insulation and building design, conservation etc. Car producers in Pakistan, who year on year demand tariffs to protect them from foreign competition, need to spurned towards energy efficient engines and design.


Thar coal, more gas in Baluchistan etc etc, are all mirages offered as possible future solutions. They are no closer to reality than they were a few years ago. No one is going to give us free oil, and its economic suicide to expect the state to foot the bill. Its also corrupt on our part to expect subsidies, the burden of which is borne by those who hardly consumer any of it. The poorest and most vulnerable, must and should be protected from inflationary pressure. However, we need to draw a line somewhere. The guy sitting in his brand new Honda Civic, being interviewed on GEO News on how the government should cut petrol prices doesn’t deserve a poor states economic protection.


So gear up for higher prices, and continue to blame corruption, Zardari, democracy, PPP for our ills, just do so while economizing energy use in your surroundings.

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Recession Backed Layoffs Reach Asia, Further Negate Value of Education

Posted on 01 February 2012 by Tea Server

Lets examine the bottom line … why get a degree? why study at all? No jobs on the market, ultra qualified executives backed with experience can’t land a decent interview, so why bother at all? The general suggestion among the entrepreneurial circle for aspiring workers of tomorrow is to either land a blue collar gig, [...]

Recession Backed Layoffs Reach Asia, Further Negate Value of Education is a post from: PakMediaBlog All Rights Reserved.



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“Our thing”

Posted on 29 January 2012 by Tea Server



I have been following stories of different mafia groups for a while now. One reason is the sheer dramatization of their stories that can attract anyone, but there are other reasons as well. The mafias give you an interesting account of the parallel economy or commonly known as the ‘black markets’. Another interesting aspect of any mafia is the CoC or the ‘Code of Conduct’. It is only the strong adherence to this code that makes any mafia an effective long term enterprise. I am particularly fascinated by the Sicilian mafia, commonly known as ‘Cosa Nostra’ or ‘our thing’. Their process of ‘making’ a guy, the oath ceremonies, the hierarchy with-in the families, and strong adherence to the CoC, made them one of the strongest enterprise in the history of United States. They developed a superlative concept of parallel economy that was copied by different mafias around the world.

If you look at the current economy and political structure in Pakistan, you will find an even greater degree of parallel economy-an even bigger Costa Nostra. The corruption has been institutionalized and ‘made’ men are minting money right and left. Parties have taken the shape of families and there is just one rule of thumb, as the boss of famous Gambino family repeatedly said ‘We can not make money with guns in our hands’. Our political parties have recently been exercising this rule. They have dropped their guns for each other and they are indeed making a lot of money. They have Captains in the form of ministers who are eligible for the bigger share. They have consiglieres giving them advices and protecting them in legal battles. No sect or sector is out of bound when it comes to making money. Just like old mafia, they will never name anyone from their or another family in case someone is convicted. The have vows, that their own family will come before anyone else in the whole world, and anything for the family will never be considered out of bound. You start imagining any of our ruling political parties today, and it wont take you long to develop the same analogies. The Godfathers, in this case, are also the kings of black market.

If think of all the captains in the current political setup, there is one ‘made’ man who made the most out of the last four years, Monsieur Gilani. For the past 4 years when the Godfather have been under a lot of heat in the federal and the financial capital, the Gilani family has enjoyed a tantamount wealth in the deserts of Multan. Having been a 1000 Km too far for the media to cover the luxuries of the family, Mr. Gilani was rarely tried in media the way Zardari/ Bhutto family has been tried. People like myself, who have seen the Gs (Short of Gilani’s) through the 90s and early 20s, are in awe. The family who proclaims to be the descendants of the same Abdul Qadir Jilani, who once gave away all his money to the robbers so that he doesn’t have to lie, is anything but hypocrites. Few of their corruptions have surfaced in recent years like the Hajj scandal, the import of million dollar vehicles, and kick backs from various developmental projects (some of those projects were carries out their own city). Mr. Gilani, being the boss of the family, usually goes for the bigger kick backs.

In short, The Gs, the Zs, the Bs, and the Ss, are just part of a system that supports parallel economy. A recent transparency report predicts that by 2023, in 11 years,Pakistan’s parallel economy will be of the same size as its normal economy. I fail to imagine the state of people then.

In old Sicilian times, the Sicilian’s used to work in Sulphur mines. It used to get so hot in the mines that the miners used to work naked. Despite these tough situations, they were supposed to pay to a middle man to get a job in the mine, and once they got their daily wages, they were supposed to pay to another mafia. It was then these miners got together and fought with the mafia. The same people went on to the U.S to form Cosa Nostra. I don’t see our current state of affairs any different than the Sicilian miners.. I just hope that we fight with our mafia the way Sicilian miners fought with their’s.

Syndicated from: Borderline Green

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Obama Cracks Hilarious Joke, Hopes Re-Election

Posted on 25 January 2012 by Tea Server

The first black President of the most easily offended and supremely overweight super power of the world versed his best ever joke during a State of the Union address on Tuesday; he announced a plan to place steep tax increases on wealthier Americans, fresh investigations into the mortgage crisis and support for domestic manufacturing. After [...]

Obama Cracks Hilarious Joke, Hopes Re-Election is a post from: PakMediaBlog All Rights Reserved.



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What Are the Main Reasons to Be Cautious of Mobile Banking?

Posted on 24 January 2012 by Tea Server

Mobile banking is still a fairly new technology. More and more people are now using their mobile devices to check their balances, make payments and do everything else that we’re used to doing online: so are there any reasons for caution, any more so than there would be were you doing your online banking via [...]

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Mansoor Ejaz Vulgar Video: Statement by Maulana Mujahid Al Hussaini

Posted on 19 January 2012 by Tea Server

We extremely condemn the sheer act of vulgarity done by a Qadiani, Mansoor Ejaz’s clip of a video which is reported by various national Dailies today. In this video he is hosting a show of wrestling of naked girls. This was said by Maulana Mujahid Al Hussaini, a close aide of Ameer-e-Shariat Syed Ataullah Shah [...]

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The Next 3 Months of Pakistani Politics

Posted on 16 January 2012 by Tea Server

Photo Credit: SANA News Agency

To say that Pakistan is ahappening place would be an understatement, we are a country that has atsunami, flood and even an earthquake coming but thankfully all this is justcoming in the political sense. With the political situation changing so rapidlyit is no wonder that our media is mostly in frenzy leaving us the public withno clear indication as to what is going on and where we are headed in the nextfew months. In this blog I intend to actually do exactly that, provide someclarity as to where we are going and how we are getting there.

So to start of let me make itvery clear that the Government is going nowhere. I know that you keep hearingthrough the media and other sources that may be there is something going andthat very soon this government is going to wrap up, but it is not going tohappen. Yes the PM has been asked to appear in court but that has been done in the past as well and worst case scenario would be that the PM would be forced to resign. That does not mean that the NA will fold. Instead what is going to happen is this, Senate elections are going to happenon time and once they are done, the government is going to give a date forelections and dissolve the Parliament. About a week ago PML N the majoropposition party agreed in principle that they would not do anything thatjeopardizes the Senate elections based on the promise that the Government wouldfold immediately afterwards. Now the deal is, once the government wraps up,Elections are to be held in about 90 days. That means given that the Senateelection is done and the new Senators take oath, the time would be aroundmiddle of March. The Government would ideally be dissolved around middle ofApril and then the Election date would be set for something like middle ofAugust or September.
Photo Credit: Reuters

This settlement works out foreveryone for different reasons. Firstly the Senate is elected based onprovincial seats. That means that if you have enough provincial seats, you getto have proportional seats in the Senate. The biggest beneficiaries of this arethe PPP and PML N who gain substantial seats in the Senate. Holding the Senateinsures that even if the General Elections are a mess and PPP along with PML Nwere to suffer losses, they would still hold one house of the Parliament. Thisalso means that the Chairman Senate would be a compromise candidate who will beacceptable to all parties involved and for that the name being thrown around isthat of Aitezaz Ahsan, someone who is acceptable to everyone. In case you didnot know, the Chairman Senate is also the Acting President by default. So ifthere were to be a situation where the President was to be forced out, a PPPperson would still hold the office.

Secondly, NADRA cannot completethe voter list updating by the court appointed date of Feb 23rd.There is absolutely no way that they can manage that and there is a very goodchance that the whole exercise would have to be extended for a few moremonths.  This means that no matter whathappens, the voter lists are not going to be ready and that elections would beheld until they are.

Photo Credit: The Nation
Thirdly, the opposition has beenworking overtime to form alliances to ensure that the PPP led coalition doesnot come back in elections. Opposition parties fear that if the government wereto be forcibly sent home in the next few months, they would go out as PoliticalMartyrs and this would just help them bounce back in the elections. The logicalway for the opposition to operate is to let the PPP led coalition burn out andcall for elections on their own as that way the whole Political Martyr carddoes not get used. This also gives time for the PML N led opposition to cobbletogether an alliance with other parties namely JI and Baloch Nationalists.  That alliance would have a very strong chanceof doing well in the elections as it would be able to cast a wider netnationwide. But the sticking point in that whole negation is the Munawwar Hasanof the JI who refuses to sit with PML N and instead wants his party to sit withPTI. But JI the party refuses to sit with PTI and instead wants to join handswith the PML N, so there is an internal debate going on in the JI with regardsto which side they wish to proceed to. Based on the Qazi-Nawaz meeting a coupleof days ago, it looks like that the JI is going to go with PML N. In additionto this alliance in the making, the PTI is continuing its policy of taking inanyone and everyone and right now they are involved in a prolonged negotiationwith the PML Like Minded group who have left the Q league and are being refusedentry in the PML N. The sticking point there seems to be that PTI does not wantthem to join as a group but to negotiate their terms on individual basis likeQasuris and the Legharis but the PML Like Minded refuse to negotiateindividually. That whole situation will pan out soon as they have nowhere elseto go and PTI knows that.

Lastly, the Supreme Court isgoing over a few high profile cases at the moment and these cases are going toreach their climax around March. All the Commissions are going to startwrapping up their investigations around that period of time too. A number ofcredible sources maintain that in nearly all cases the PM would bear the bruntand would probably be declared unfit for office. He would resign and face thecourts while the PPP led coalition elects an alternative PM.

The next 3 months are going to bevery interesting. The path I have spelled out above is the one that iseventually going to be followed. Now that you have a good idea of what is goingto be happening, enjoy the media frenzy and the whole political show. 
Syndicated from: Seedhi Baat

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The Weekly Pah-kee-stuhn Musings

Posted on 14 January 2012 by Tea Server

NYT/AP. Gilani: I should just Expecto Patronum all of you! All of you! Kayani: Oh God.

The problem with blogging about Pakistan is that there’s no dearth of topics and issues to write about. Turning on the television hits you with drama, intrigue, and conspiracy theories as caricatures scream in vain and to no one in particular.

And that’s just on our news channels.

Rather than be overwhelmed by the multitude of things I could write about, and hence, um, not actually write anything, I decided to spare you the excuses and just package them as a list. With a bow. And a rainbow. You’re welcome.

1. Gilani went all Jadoogar on the military. If you don’t know why Harry Potter should be jealous of Gilani Sahib, check out this past post. This week, media outlets and Twitter feeds alike were abuzz after Prime Minister Gilani fired Pakistan’s Defense Secretary [retired] General Lodhi. (Poof! He was gone. Jadoogar! Ooh!) According to media outlets, the controversy resulted from Lodhi’s statements during his Memogate investigation, claiming the Ministry of Defense (MOD) had no control over the ISI or Pakistan military.

Not surprisingly, coup rumors were abound after said news went public, as the Express Tribune reported Gilani allegedly made a “panicky” phone call to a British diplomat to support the PPP government. The British Foreign Secretary appealed for calm today, urging that all parties respect “the constitution and help ensure stability.” So military coup in the making? The jury’s still out, but I highly doubt it given the proximity (hopefully) to elections as well as the military’s own capacity to perform a coup. Al Jazeera English quoted analyst Moeed Pirzada who further iterated, “The Pakistani military is not the political player it used to be. It knows it’s not in a position to capture political power in Islamabad … not with the Supreme Court being the biggest impediment.”

But why such a high octave of rumors now? There are obviously many reasons, but one factor [purposefully?] upping the notch is…

2. The controversy known as #Memogate. Gah. I recently wrote about the first iteration of the Memogate scandal here, when Pakistani-American businessman Mansoor Ijaz alleged that he was asked by [now former] Amb. Haqqani to pass a memo to former chairman of the U.S. Joint Chiefs of Staff Adm. Mike Mullen, asking for help in reigning in Pakistan’s military establishment. The military, particularly COAS Kayani & ISI chief Pasha claim there is truth to the document & urged the judiciary to investigate its origins. Gilani claimed that Kayani & Pasha were violating the Constitution by submitting statements to the Supreme Court. ISPR responded by calling Gilani’s statements false and could have “very serious ramifications.” Gilani responded by saying the Army’s statements were – wait for it – released with his consent, i.e. “Just kidding, guys! I totes let the Army make allusions to a military coup, that would hence usurp my power!” Hee! [Note: read this great piece by Mohammed Hanif on how the military uses rumors over force.]

As the three-member judiciary panel gears up to for the memo inquiry this coming Monday, “A separate bench of the Supreme Court is scheduled to convene that day to hear the government’s explanation for failing to comply with earlier court orders to reopen corruption cases against Mr. Zardari,” noted the NY Times. Raza Rumi said it well when he noted, “The real threat for the government is a proactive Supreme Court which has taken a serious notice of noncompliance with its orders. The civilian government is stuck between two powerful institutions, which are no longer comfortable with business as usual.”

The ironic thing, though, is that this cacaphony still is business as usual. Politicians are not the only players who reign over politics, they are joined and often challenged by the judiciary and the military. This politicized warring, this blurring between the lines, mean we are also distracted from *real* issues like…

3. The Gas Shortage. Hello, McFly! The gas crisis in Pakistan isn’t so much a shortage as much as it’s the result of horrendous management. Or as Khurram Hussain noted in his piece for Express, it’s the result of an addiction. As CNG stations ran short on fuel and/or shut down in the country, protests broke out as people voiced their discontent. The gas shortage became visual as you would drive past rows of cars waiting at the CNG stations. But beyond the lines, beyond the protests, the crisis goes much deeper. Take away gas, and citizens are immobilized. They can’t drive their cars, they can’t take buses to get to work, they can’t cook their food. This has impacted industries, where, in Punjab, rows of factories have had to shut down. It’s affected jobs and livelihoods. In my opinion, that more than coup rumors is worrisome.

Also while you were watching Memogate

4. The Saleem Shahzad Report came out. And it was inconclusive. The Pakistani journalist was abducted, tortured and found dead outside Islamabad last year, two days after his report on connections between Al Qaeda and the Pakistan Navy was published. Although several facts pointed to an alleged connection to the ISI, the Saleem Shahzad Commission did “not hold any institution or individual responsible for his death,” instead blaming “belligerents” for the incident. Given this lack of accountability, it’s no wonder the Committee to Protect Journalists (CPJ) once again said Pakistan was, for the second year in a row, the most dangerous place in the world to be a journalist. CPJ’s Bob Dietz told AJE,

[The media in Pakistan is] free and vibrant, but let me qualify that with saying that they are under tremendous amounts of pressure from all sides. There’s been a lot of emphasis on intelligence services attacking journalists, but the fact, if you look at the journalists slain in the last few years, is that the ISI is only one of the actors that is putting pressure on journalists, threatening them and responsible for their deaths as well.

The news about Pakistan is, as always, eventful. The negative developments couched in this list are a reflection of the ground reality, but they are also a snapshot of what’s in the news. My work convinces me every day that Pakistan is a country with tremendous potential that has been horrifically managed. We are the victims of poor leadership, institutions that care more about pointing fingers outwards than looking inward, and a number of inefficiencies in our national value chain. Peel back that rotten layer, and you see the positive stories of opportunity, innovation, and energy. It may not completely overcome the bad, but it’s enough to be the silver lining. At least in my opinion.

And if you ever need further proof of change, check out this preview for Pakistan’s Next Top Model (PNTM). Because nothing says “Pakistanis, they’re just like us! Yay!” quite like reality television franchises & model wannabes smizing. What ups, #FAT (Fashion Against the Taliban).:



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Memo Case: Mansoor Ejaz with the support of Qadiani Group trying to destabilize Pakistan?

Posted on 13 January 2012 by Tea Server

Since creation of the Islamic Republic of Pakistan, the Qadiani Group is at their best for conspiring to topple every government of this country and present memogate issue is also one of the conspiracies hatched by Qadiani brains. Maulana Mujahid Al Hussaini, former editor of weekly ‘Khaddam-ud-Din’ and a close aide of Ameer-e-Shariat Syed Ataullah [...]

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Syndicated from: GeoTauAisay Pakistan

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